Tuesday, June 21, 2016

Increasing my Mental Capacity

I am in the process of getting myself in shape to work again. Because of my age I feel I need to increase my mental capacity so that I will be more confident in my abilities. One of those steps is to write a journal every night on what was actioned during the day. I felt it would be more beneficial to me if I made a blog post out of my journey so far.

Increasing my cognitive capacity has been an interesting journey. It started when I realised that I was getting tired all the time when doing my Mongodb course. I inferred that my mental tank had significantly diminished as I was continually getting tired after going through complicated training sessions.  This has led to a rabbit warren full of paths on techniques to increase mental capacity.

The main cognitive aids that I have incorporated into my daily routine are the following

Increased intake of omega-3 in terms of fish oil pills and one tin of tuna a day
Conscious of the need of taking L-tyrosine fortified food
Probiotics in the form of yakult but really should make cabbage juice
Take thiamine tables when brain starts to fog up

Mental Exercise
Mindful Meditation has many different benefits which I am still trying to confirm
dual n-back game to help with fluid intelligence

Physical Exercise
Yoga based exercises and physical activity that will get a sweat
Create a list of tasks to complete during the day in batches of three so can tick them off regurlarly to increase dopamine levels
Create a journal at end of the day to help in terms of spacing memory technique
Learn a new skills or concept to increase dopamine levels

Unconscious Activity
Good Sleep patterns and a nap during the day if I am tired or feel that have to much amyloid beta that is fogging my brain

The majority of my nearly forty steps in my daily routine are related to increasing my cognitive capacity. My assumption is that due to the neuroplasticity of the brain,  it will adapt when it is given rigourous mental exercises like how the body adapts to physical exercise and fasting.

So my strategy is that in building new brain muscles, I will need food to repair the muscles after the exercise and sleep/naps/meditation to rid the waste created by the mental exercises.

Seems rational to me, LOL. Anyway its working,  my brain physically feels better. Hopefully by the end of this exercise, I will have a job and be able to communicate how different I am now.

Tuesday, May 31, 2016

Why am I betting on MongoDB

I have started my journey of getting back into IT so am attending my first meetup of the three I am attending this week.  .  Its going to be a MongoDB meetup. I originally installed MongoDb a few years ago like I also installed MySQL before Oracle bought it. I was more impressed with MySQL at that time.

My key strength has alway been managing data.  So in the process of getting back, I wanted to do some MySql courses but the MongoDB courses at the Mongo University was free. So I went all in on MongoDB and successfully completed three 7 week courses which was a real struggle at the beginning.

So you can say that I am already invested in MongoDB but the reality is that I have always seemed to lucky in finding the relevant technology for me. The course at Mongo University was a great learning experience. Especially when I realised that this is the type of database and distributed systems that I needed when I first proposed to create artificual intelligence program for my final project at Uni.

I would not recommend MongoDB for storing and recording financial transactions but for me its very relevent for storinging information going forward. I think the actual competitor is Firebase

To me the main streingth of MongoDB is the dynamic schema and the way its stores data in JSON. Its more how we think and work. Information is key and use cases are changing rapidly. The ability for a data collection to change rapidly with the use cases has to be a significant advantage going forward. JSON is also key strength as I have never been able to get my head around XML but found JSON natural.

In 2000 I was trying to make Microsoft SQL Server Replication work. I ended up working a lot of late nights manually fixing the replication errors. The replication in Mongodb is built in and part of its core function. Another major positive for me is when there is a failure you have another working server, which is much more beneficial then restoring from backups

What amazes me the most though is the sharding over many different servers and ability to add servers when hitting thoroughput limits. This functionality is just perfect timing with the provisioning services from AWS and Google Cloud which makes adding a server so easy. It took me days to get my head around the concept of working using SSH/SCP with Google Cloud but once learnt that, I was able to use same concepts with AWS servers.

Anyway hopefully writing this article has given me enough clarity to be able to talk about MongoDb with some confidence. I am also now more confident in my choice.

Forgot to add one extra benefit is that its fun and intiuative working with MongoDB because the data feels natural and query also the same.

Friday, May 27, 2016

Affect of Cognitive Resources in learning complicated Skills

I have just completed three courses at Mongo University mainly on MongoDB and Node.js. In the process of studying, I kept on getting really tired and was continously looking for breaks, where the best being a 10 minute power nap. Near the end of the course it was getting easier to learn new things and then I started on the Mean Stack.  I chose to study the Mean Stack as it came free with Google Cloud and had Node.js which I learnt from the course just completed at Mongo University.

In my process of studying I came across the following youtube  on Cognitive Resources

This has totally change my outlook in learning news skills and way I am aproach learning complex concepts.

At an IT person one of our keys has always been the tools we use either the programming language or the IDE and frameworks. As the tools we use has a significant affect on meeting requirements of whatever project we are working on.  One tool that have never been aware of is congitive resources besides drinking a lot of coffee and being physicall fit assist codying.

I now realised that our brain is like a mana bar we have in  mmo games. The amount of mana you use is dependant on how complex and new the problem you are facing. So the reason I was getting tired so often was not because of boredem which I thought, but because of the effort my brain was trying to do in processing the new information. So my congnitive resources was being exausted without being refilled.

What is interesting to me is when I was addressing the learning through spatial means i.e Coggle (Mind map). I was not getting tired also it was hard for me to get tired when I was writing code. So for me the reading and visual processing of information was making me tired.

So to increase my Brain Tank, I kneed to address how my mental fitness has declined significantly so need to train it again and also build up the muscles in my brain.  I will write some new posts in my journey of getting mentally fit again but the main thing is that I have addressed my main barriers to learning and aknowledge that conginitive resources is a very important layer in my tools.

Reason I wrote this post to put in the details of the scaffolding I have already done with Cognitive Resources. Things that have I have learnt in writing this blog post.

  • Physically doing work is the same concept as warmdown in exercise in terms of getting rid of lactic acid and is reason why can do more complicated work for longer, so replentishing the tank
  • Process of writing a blog post does help in fleshing out details of new concepts
  • Scaffolding is very important to build understandings from
  • More tired I got when the the subject was more fuzzier and no scaffolds to attach too.

Monday, May 04, 2015

The Fight

Interesting weekend after watching the Manny vs Mayweather fight which was one of the best boxing performances I have seen. Usually I can pick a winner by the way they face each other in the ring and before that moment I was commentating how relaxed Manny was and stressed Mayweather was . Then they they faced each other and I was worried.

I have never followed Mayweather but have been following Manny so believed the hype going into the fight in that manny had a good chance and only started having doubts by the excellent breakdown by Paulie Malignaggi on  theGrantland boxing podcast. Also finding out that Mayweather had a five inch reach advantage and big height difference which was also significant. Reminded me of the Lennox Lewis vs Mike Tyson fight. So I didn't end up betting on the fight.

Some observations of the fight. First how people who invested their time in the Clippers vs Spurs game going overboard in justifying why it was better to be there.  Spurs never repeat and the Clippers wont make the Finals. So watching a a great performance that doesn't mean that much in the scheme of things. In ten years time will people be saying that they watched the 7th game of meaningless final or the last great boxing match of our century.

My father took me to my first boxing match when I was around 5 or 6 and I still remember it. A significant reason why the NFL does so well, is the violence in the sport and in my experience there is nothing more violent then being ringside at a boxing match. Its primal in us to watch gladiators face of each other for major rewards. My best fan experience in sports was watching the South Pacific games amateur boxing with a packed crowd who were totally in to it. I would bet that of all the millionaires and billionaires that was ringside a significant number would consider that fight as one of the best sporting experiences that they have been too. In my experience what makes a great sporting experience is mainly to do with the people that you are there with and the shared experience amplifies the sporting event.  Where else would you get moguls, athletes, singers, actors, gangsters and normal people sitting next to each other instead of their suites.

Okay something else that has been bothering me is issue of domestic violence and how that should stop people watching the fight. I find this so hypocritical that we complain about this issue when our countries support the bombing of families and children in the name of giving democracy to a nation or supporting Israel no matter what atrocities it does.  The violence that has occurred in the name of  collateral damage to the people of Iraq, Afghanistan and Palestinians would pale in comparison to what athletes have done.

I believe that there should be consequences for actions and we all live in a world with the ultimate consequence ends up being violent consequences in which examples are either the threat of being raped in jail, or violently apprehended, waiting to be droned in war, or smacked by your family or peers. Social ostracization  has lost its strength as a consequence with social media and the internet

Which brings me to the hypocritical nature of people supporting the mother in Baltimore for smacking her son but complain about domestic violence done by athletes.

So what do I believe, I believe that there is a disconnect between what we accept in terms of the violence done in our name in different countries and violence we accept in our community and at home. I hate seeing kids smacked or threatened with violence because parents are too lazy to go with the more suitable consequence. I don't accept a reasons for partners to be violent with each other unless its for defense. For me violent consequences are only needed if that is the best option in changing behavior for the common good for people and or countries.

Anyway a Really take, as just got upset in portrayal of how violence as an important factor in changing behavior for running a functional society and people trying to diminish its value with hypocritical arguments.

Thursday, February 12, 2015

Charles Barkley and Analytics

Watched Charles Barkley view on Analytics saying that its crap and it doesn't work. I did my final year project on a horse handicap system to work out the chances of a horse based on different measurement factors. So of course I vehemently disagree with Barkley on this topic.

I used to like Barkley but this comment and him disparaging people who are interested in statistics is an attack on all of use who like to predict stuff based on past performance. I believe he is more intelligent then the comment so it doesn't make sense to me.

Barkley talks about talent but isn't talent defined by measured stats like losses, wins, defensive and offensive statistics. Those statistics against measured opposition.  All this stats have an effect can show how talented a player is, as I would take the top 10 players in Fantasy basketball over the bottom 10 players.

Based on my lens on basketball Barkley has become less relevant and I am guessing this is one of his last attempts of getting his name in lights again. Feel sorry that this has happened

Friday, January 23, 2015

Is deflate-gate a sign to tell us that we are experiencing deflation

The Superbowl has always been a very important day for me and it was usually the only period of the year I would ask for annual leave. One of the best holidays of my life was taking a two week break culminating in watching the Superbowl.

I supported the Seahawks last year because of Wilson, Lynch and Sherman. My second team in the finals is Ravens than Patriots so I am very happy with the Superbowl.

I read interesting analysis that shows that since the NFL changed the rules of home team choosing the balls, the Patriots have a fumble rate that is too good to be true. Having a deflated ball makes it so much easier to protect the ball from fumbling i.e try and knock out a pillow from someones hand

So I am guessing that the ball that patriots have been using for practice and on game day have all been deflated for many years. I am sure Brady and Belichick know this and Football gods have not let them win a Superbowl since change in rules of home teams choosing their own balls.

I have been following Martin Armstrong's predictions that worlds collapse will begin this year and one of the main factors of the collapse is deflation. The main indicators of deflation are commodity prices where biggest influence in our lives is the price of oil measured in petrodollars.

I don't believe in coincidences and live a lot of my life through signs around me. So on the same day that Brady/Belichik have media conferences on deflate-gate and the EU states that they will implement one trillion worth of quantitative easing. Hmmmmm

I think we have to take their arguments with a grain of salt especially the EU as I think the main reason for them is to tackle deflation

In the end its just another sign of lack of integrity/honesty and people in power thinking they can get away with stuff but reality then gets in the way.

Wednesday, January 07, 2015

Relationship between Oil price and US dollar

I am currently fascinated about affect of oil, peak oil and relationship between US dollar and price of oil. Hopefully by the end of this post I will have it sorted out in my Head.

My understanding of energy in our modern systems was in the terms of debt which is represented by dollar. But I have now come to the realization that the real energy in our systems is in fact energy where the energy from oil is the main ingredients and petrodollars is the main representation of that energy.

US dollar is more expensive because oil is more expensive to acquire in terms of energy commitments. My argument is that the US dollars will be more expensive vs other currencies because it reflects that the US Dollar is worth more because its harder to get energy through oil, not because of an oversupply of the product of oil.

To create energy you need energy just like in the human body. I  also going with the understanding that just before 2008 we reached a tipping point where creation of oil through real means reached a peak and we no longer able to create enough energy cheaply to supply to the expectations of the masses.

The US dollar is worth more because the amount of energy to extract oil has increased.

As the petrodollar is a representation of energy when QE was actioned, it meant US increased its virtual energy but that process follows the law of diminishing return. So the process of creating virtual energy has less affect each time QE is actioned. So the value of the dollar and oil will move to a more realistic value.

So the dollar is now more a reflection of how hard it is acquire energy to develop goods. This also means that to develop products they will have compete harder for a peace of energy pie. As a significant amount of that energy is being used to create new energy e.g Fracking or in complicated systems that are very inefficient in using the energy from the energy pie, some examples are education, healthcare, financial services, entertainment  and protection services. So these areas are sucking up significant parts of the energy pie that could be used in more productive areas of society

I am still not sold on what I have written but if it is true its means that we need to go back to community based solutions to address significant issues being faced and be able to accept that some people will have to suffer or adapt to survive. Currently based on expectations, the amount of energy needed to keep everyone happy is not sustainable.

Reread what have been writing and am still rambling but getting a better handle though of what oil/energy main role in our society and am very interested in how oil can be used as an analogy to human energy systems i.e ATP, Lactic Acid and Aerobic systems.

Monday, December 29, 2014

Drop in Oil Price 2015

Amazing its been nearly eight years since I started writing blogs a lot of things have changed since then the main one being the number of people that read blogs now.

Am really interested in why the price of oil has reduced so dramatically and usually I can get a good idea from my sources in the internet but their is no consensus so I thought will write something to consolidate my thoughts on the issue.

For me the world is shaped in petrodollars so when I comprehend about what is happening in the world, the main factor that influences my thinking is the petrodollar. Actions of Iraq and Libya and now Russia are more inline with defending petrodollar then whatever reasons are being touted.

My original feeling was that the drop was an attack on Russia, then I thought it was to do with supply and demand based on changing needs of society,  but I feel it has to be something to do with the decoupling of the petrodollar to reality.

In terms of supply there has been a drop of projected number of barrels needed per day as the IEA has forecasted around 20% drop in demand.In Fiji I remember that a large amount of our electricity was produced by oil and now have read that UK and China are setting records in renewable solutions for generating electricity. My gut feeling is that renewable solutions and peoples disposable income are having the biggest impact on the amount of oil needed.

If it is mainly to do with the petrodollar decoupling with reality. I need to first work out why the petrodollar function is so important in the reduction of prices. Dollar Notes need to be backed by something so that you know it can be redeemed. Originally the US dollar was backed by gold then then that changed in the seventies and it become oil from Saudi Arabia hence the name petrodollars.

There is also the influence of AIPAC type motives in a significant number of decisions being made and that factor is what to me has caused biggest issues in terms of keeping interest rates low and printing of dollars which has made Oil Producing nations look at alternatives to the Dollar.

Before oil producing nations sold their oil for dollars then they would use those dollars by purchasing US financial instruments e.g in 2012  there net effect of 248 billion of purchases but what is expected in 2014 is actually net effect of taking out around 8 billion dollars. So how can they be a petro dollar if the oil producing nations don't want to invest in the dollar.

My understanding is that the US dollar will be the last fiat currency to drop when there is a reset and that is why value of dollar is increasing.  So the drop in oil prices is not logical as I would think the value of the dollar would decrease and oil prices increase but the opposite has happened. So what is happening?.

QE printing for me is also done to meet the shortfall of what was being supplied by the oil producing countries  i.e. 500 billion in 2006 and bailout TPTB.

Following the silver and gold market has given me many examples of how the market is able to be manipulated. I have feeling of what is happening to the oil prices is last throes of the dollar being backed by a commodity as other nations start trading in their own currencies.

Goes back to conversation had with deputy of chine embassy who in 2009 told me they were moving away from US dollars to basket of Huan, Ruble and Eurpean currencies.

I am interested with Deputy of Russia saying that the manipulation can only last around six months then we will see what happens

Monday, August 04, 2014

Hamas and Gaza

Long time since I have posted which means a tipping point must have been reached for me to spend time writing about a subject that have been following for a long time. I predicted the hamas victory in 2006. But I am writing because of am always interested in hypocricy and media bias and what is occurring in Gaza is a good example of how things have gone bad.

In the scheme of things the number of deaths is comparable to other conflicts and as an example more the 3 million kids die each year because of malnutrition. For me their is a significant difference in not giving kids food and targeting kids because they may be potential terrorist in the future.

The main reason for me why this is so important is that Israel and the people that support Israel have such a big influence in the world. So for them to change their values and morals to justify the killing of innocents in a public way is not right. Especially by lying and so what I was going to do was go through the 613 commandments as show how they have moved significantly from their origins.

As part of the commandments are not to slay an innocent person but then came the shocking commandments which are
  •  601.   Not to keep alive any individual of the seven Canaanite nations (Deut.20:16)
  • 602.   To exterminate the seven Canaanite nations from the land of Israel (Deut. 20:17)
  • 613.  To destroy the seed of Amalek (Deut. 25:19)

So in their minds I can see them justifying their actions. For me as a christian they have gone against the commandments of thou shall not kill, thou shalt not bear false witness against thy neighbor and thou shall not covet thy neighbors property.  So I can't understand why supposedly christian states are supporting Israel in this issue.

Really surprised that genocide is part of the Jewish commandments and that they are actioning it in todays world.

Main reason I posted is that people have crossed the line in supporting the killing of innocent children and this meme should not be accepted by majority of people for a functioning society.

Thursday, February 20, 2014

Facebook's purchase of Whatsapp

In my experience Facebook users are nearly saturated. I have only added one friend in the last few months and joined in 2007. So their market growth is really only new kids accessing computers or 3rd world countries. Well Fiji is a third world country and I am connected to nearly all my Family members in Fiji. Where the Australian Friends and family seem to post a lot less now.

I have a fourteen and sixteen year old son and they don't know what Whatsapp is and they spend a lot time on their Samsung s2. The youngest uses Snapchat as majority of his friends are using it. 

After some reading article from November last year it stated that Whatsapp had around 400 million users and with Snapchat was the biggest competitor to Facebook.  Amazing the speed of change by end of Christmas break new users were going to Snapchat at a rate of 40/1 over Whatsapp.

I understand that Facebook is in trouble getting new users especially the younger ones as my kids are always complaining about Grandma posting comments on their Facebook posts.
The biggest issue that Facebook has now is its branding as its lost it cool and rebellious factor for new kids.  

This is just part of the internet cycle and what must go up will come down as smartphone apps are taking away a lot of what Facebook users would spend their time on Facebook. An example is the  Farmville of today would just be a ITunes or Google Play app.

My main problem with Facebook is that they are picking the wrong company and even if they did pick Snapchat, I am sure that once under Facebook branding it will lose users and as a new app that takes advantage of whatever new technology of the day is will overtake it. 

I see this move as like Newscorp taking over MySpace when all majority of their users have already moved to Facebook. But MySpace touting its number of users.

My opinion is that Facebook should make it easier for kids on Facebook to silo off their older family members like myself and spend the 19 billion on real assets that wont be overtaken in a few years,

Wednesday, February 19, 2014

Response to Martin Armstrong, John Drovak and Rupert Murdoch on Climate Change

“Climate change is a hoax”, in the last month this statement has been promoted by people that I respect.  This was stated by Martin Armstrong, John Dvorak and wife of one of my best friends who is doing her master’s thesis at Cambridge on how climate changing is part of the normal natural cycle.  So I need to clarify my thoughts concerning this issue as there is cognitive dissonance in what I see and feel compared to views of people that I respect. I will try and explore their arguments and expand on what my feelings are, which is that we are affecting the climate and in a negative way.

Growing up in Australia, my connection to the land lied dormant as I believed that earth was nothing but a dead entity. A major factor in being able to change my views was in the process of completing my Computer Science Degree. I created a computerized horse racing handicap system as my final year project. In this process I developed a good understanding of probability and the weighting of factors that are needed to predict future events. 

I awakened to my natural connection to the land after spending 20 years in the management of indigenous land in Fiji. My comprehension changed after seeing so many improbable events occurring regularly. I considered the events nearly impossible to occur when combining all the events in a time frame that it was viewed in. The understanding that the climate is alive and behaves in ways depending on actions that have occurred, is an accepted view in Fijian society. So the improbable events became probable and understandable. After around seven years, I could usually predict a weather based event on actions/affects that have occurred by people.

My argument of a natural connection between people and climate may not work with people like Dvorak, Armstrong and Rupert Murdoch as you need to be open to the idea that there are other forces around us, that are not seen or accepted by Mass Media in the Western World.  Interestingly, If you are Christian and believe that praying for rain can have an affect, then you should believe that climate change can be affected by man.

When I was first going to write this post I was going to argue against that the current change in the climate is not only part of the natural cycle of change but it is also influenced by man.The actions of humans may not be large, but they do have an effect.   Different ingredients/actions would have different effects.  A comparison is if you pour turpentine in a litre of water, we can smell it at range of around 20 micro-grams, which is around 0.000002% of the water. When pouring sugar into a litre of water you would need significantly more sugar than turpentine before you can naturally smell that the water has changed. What I am trying to explain is that different actions will have different effects on different types of the climate and that the action can be very small to have a noticeable effect.

My understanding is that Drovak and Armstrong’s major argument is that the changes we are see is based on natural oscillation of the climate that occurs in cycles. I believe in cycle theory for majority of disciplines, including my knowledge of how climate changes.  Within Cycles there are also cycles at a smaller scale and that is the level I believe that human actions are causing changes. 

The following are the top things that I think are actually having a significant affect in hurting the Earth.
  •   Earthquakes caused by Fracking
  •  Sinkholes caused by mining and water usage
  • Sea is becoming more acidic because of more C02 in atmosphere and less clean water being added to the sea
  • Colony Collapse Disorder (CCD) means threat to pollination and is found to be significantly man made disorder
  • Changes in local temperatures due to clearing of Land

After twenty years I have returned back to live in Australia and the climate has changed compared to what I remember it.  Here there are no talking heads that argue against climate change as they are ridiculed, in the same vein as commentators that say smoking is not bad for you because they have an uncle that smokes and drinks and he still lived to his nineties.

I started writing this post then lost my motivation.  I had to drop a family member at Church and  just as I was getting in the car it started to rain. Within an hour 54mm of rain poured down causing floods and major damage, just in my area of the city. To put things in context, so far this year only 14mm of rain has been recorded and in the whole of 2006 there was only 86mm.  So do I believe that the climate changed to give me motivation to finish this post. I will leave that up to you.

Wednesday, November 13, 2013

Obama the shackles are off

Just read that ties between USA is publicly breaking with Israel concerning Palestine.  These actions plus the fines to J.P Morgan and Johnson & Johnson shows that there is a change at the Whitehouse. Obama's team are not scared as before to do the right thing.  Strength shown during the Government shutdown was also unprecedented in my time of following the democratic party.

I actually have hope again and especially after watching Ray Dalio clip below. The information has motivated me to actually be productive in our society. As I have spent the last three years mainly playing video games and sponged of the people and society around me.

Amazing I am playing nearly playing tennis everyday with my boys, we play cards most nights and I am helping them with their school work in which they have really deteriorated over the last few years. Now I am in the process of writing android apps to help them with their school work and will hopefully help other students.

I still believe that we will need a huge reset to fix the worlds problems but I am happy that the people that I originally supported i.e Obama are now moving in the right direction on issues that is important to the earth

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

What Google needs to do to get goodwill back for NSA

The leaks by Edward Snowden has in my opinion affected Google and Apple the most. Especially Google as there is an assumption of the "do no evil" motto that they carry.

Idea that they are giving our data to Military Contractors whose aim to create more profits by pumping more wars doesn't fit with the meme of "do no evil". I have small issues of Military Industry complex wanting to get into more wars as its a business and I have a lot of family  who are mercenaries or work in the UN. The Syria debacle will bring a significant amount of money back to Fiji.

So how can Google get back goodwill from us punters, I think what they are doing is a good step in challenging the Gag order about the secret FISA rulings. Reality people will think the worse when information is in the dark. Like you get more scared at night when you can't see things around you and paranio starts to affect you.

I was going to right a post on how the most important information gathering tool I have had for last 7 years and not being able to access it next month is giving me more bad will to Google then the NSA leaks. So continuing with Google Reader is the first step in getting back goodwill with internet power users. I know Google want people to migrate to Google plus but there's no comparison compared to Google Reader. So for me will get goodwill back by continuing Google Reader.

I think creating a legal challenge for bringing light to NSA secret court rulings is good. Amazing spent fifteen minutes thinking of other ways and I can't think of any significant moves besides marketing.

Google may be in trouble.  Like getting Google glasses which NSA can have access to or driver less cars in which NSA can control.

Anyway good luck Google but I think what is happening like our relationship we have had with Google Reader is a sign of the times.