Monday, May 04, 2015

The Fight

Interesting weekend after watching the Manny vs Mayweather fight which was one of the best boxing performances I have seen. Usually I can pick a winner by the way they face each other in the ring and before that moment I was commentating how relaxed Manny was and stressed Mayweather was . Then they they faced each other and I was worried.

I have never followed Mayweather but have been following Manny so believed the hype going into the fight in that manny had a good chance and only started having doubts by the excellent breakdown by Paulie Malignaggi on  theGrantland boxing podcast. Also finding out that Mayweather had a five inch reach advantage and big height difference which was also significant. Reminded me of the Lennox Lewis vs Mike Tyson fight. So I didn't end up betting on the fight.

Some observations of the fight. First how people who invested their time in the Clippers vs Spurs game going overboard in justifying why it was better to be there.  Spurs never repeat and the Clippers wont make the Finals. So watching a a great performance that doesn't mean that much in the scheme of things. In ten years time will people be saying that they watched the 7th game of meaningless final or the last great boxing match of our century.

My father took me to my first boxing match when I was around 5 or 6 and I still remember it. A significant reason why the NFL does so well, is the violence in the sport and in my experience there is nothing more violent then being ringside at a boxing match. Its primal in us to watch gladiators face of each other for major rewards. My best fan experience in sports was watching the South Pacific games amateur boxing with a packed crowd who were totally in to it. I would bet that of all the millionaires and billionaires that was ringside a significant number would consider that fight as one of the best sporting experiences that they have been too. In my experience what makes a great sporting experience is mainly to do with the people that you are there with and the shared experience amplifies the sporting event.  Where else would you get moguls, athletes, singers, actors, gangsters and normal people sitting next to each other instead of their suites.

Okay something else that has been bothering me is issue of domestic violence and how that should stop people watching the fight. I find this so hypocritical that we complain about this issue when our countries support the bombing of families and children in the name of giving democracy to a nation or supporting Israel no matter what atrocities it does.  The violence that has occurred in the name of  collateral damage to the people of Iraq, Afghanistan and Palestinians would pale in comparison to what athletes have done.

I believe that there should be consequences for actions and we all live in a world with the ultimate consequence ends up being violent consequences in which examples are either the threat of being raped in jail, or violently apprehended, waiting to be droned in war, or smacked by your family or peers. Social ostracization  has lost its strength as a consequence with social media and the internet

Which brings me to the hypocritical nature of people supporting the mother in Baltimore for smacking her son but complain about domestic violence done by athletes.

So what do I believe, I believe that there is a disconnect between what we accept in terms of the violence done in our name in different countries and violence we accept in our community and at home. I hate seeing kids smacked or threatened with violence because parents are too lazy to go with the more suitable consequence. I don't accept a reasons for partners to be violent with each other unless its for defense. For me violent consequences are only needed if that is the best option in changing behavior for the common good for people and or countries.

Anyway a Really take, as just got upset in portrayal of how violence as an important factor in changing behavior for running a functional society and people trying to diminish its value with hypocritical arguments.

Thursday, February 12, 2015

Charles Barkley and Analytics

Watched Charles Barkley view on Analytics saying that its crap and it doesn't work. I did my final year project on a horse handicap system to work out the chances of a horse based on different measurement factors. So of course I vehemently disagree with Barkley on this topic.

I used to like Barkley but this comment and him disparaging people who are interested in statistics is an attack on all of use who like to predict stuff based on past performance. I believe he is more intelligent then the comment so it doesn't make sense to me.

Barkley talks about talent but isn't talent defined by measured stats like losses, wins, defensive and offensive statistics. Those statistics against measured opposition.  All this stats have an effect can show how talented a player is, as I would take the top 10 players in Fantasy basketball over the bottom 10 players.

Based on my lens on basketball Barkley has become less relevant and I am guessing this is one of his last attempts of getting his name in lights again. Feel sorry that this has happened

Friday, January 23, 2015

Is deflate-gate a sign to tell us that we are experiencing deflation

The Superbowl has always been a very important day for me and it was usually the only period of the year I would ask for annual leave. One of the best holidays of my life was taking a two week break culminating in watching the Superbowl.

I supported the Seahawks last year because of Wilson, Lynch and Sherman. My second team in the finals is Ravens than Patriots so I am very happy with the Superbowl.

I read interesting analysis that shows that since the NFL changed the rules of home team choosing the balls, the Patriots have a fumble rate that is too good to be true. Having a deflated ball makes it so much easier to protect the ball from fumbling i.e try and knock out a pillow from someones hand

So I am guessing that the ball that patriots have been using for practice and on game day have all been deflated for many years. I am sure Brady and Belichick know this and Football gods have not let them win a Superbowl since change in rules of home teams choosing their own balls.

I have been following Martin Armstrong's predictions that worlds collapse will begin this year and one of the main factors of the collapse is deflation. The main indicators of deflation are commodity prices where biggest influence in our lives is the price of oil measured in petrodollars.

I don't believe in coincidences and live a lot of my life through signs around me. So on the same day that Brady/Belichik have media conferences on deflate-gate and the EU states that they will implement one trillion worth of quantitative easing. Hmmmmm

I think we have to take their arguments with a grain of salt especially the EU as I think the main reason for them is to tackle deflation

In the end its just another sign of lack of integrity/honesty and people in power thinking they can get away with stuff but reality then gets in the way.

Wednesday, January 07, 2015

Relationship between Oil price and US dollar

I am currently fascinated about affect of oil, peak oil and relationship between US dollar and price of oil. Hopefully by the end of this post I will have it sorted out in my Head.

My understanding of energy in our modern systems was in the terms of debt which is represented by dollar. But I have now come to the realization that the real energy in our systems is in fact energy where the energy from oil is the main ingredients and petrodollars is the main representation of that energy.

US dollar is more expensive because oil is more expensive to acquire in terms of energy commitments. My argument is that the US dollars will be more expensive vs other currencies because it reflects that the US Dollar is worth more because its harder to get energy through oil, not because of an oversupply of the product of oil.

To create energy you need energy just like in the human body. I  also going with the understanding that just before 2008 we reached a tipping point where creation of oil through real means reached a peak and we no longer able to create enough energy cheaply to supply to the expectations of the masses.

The US dollar is worth more because the amount of energy to extract oil has increased.

As the petrodollar is a representation of energy when QE was actioned, it meant US increased its virtual energy but that process follows the law of diminishing return. So the process of creating virtual energy has less affect each time QE is actioned. So the value of the dollar and oil will move to a more realistic value.

So the dollar is now more a reflection of how hard it is acquire energy to develop goods. This also means that to develop products they will have compete harder for a peace of energy pie. As a significant amount of that energy is being used to create new energy e.g Fracking or in complicated systems that are very inefficient in using the energy from the energy pie, some examples are education, healthcare, financial services, entertainment  and protection services. So these areas are sucking up significant parts of the energy pie that could be used in more productive areas of society

I am still not sold on what I have written but if it is true its means that we need to go back to community based solutions to address significant issues being faced and be able to accept that some people will have to suffer or adapt to survive. Currently based on expectations, the amount of energy needed to keep everyone happy is not sustainable.

Reread what have been writing and am still rambling but getting a better handle though of what oil/energy main role in our society and am very interested in how oil can be used as an analogy to human energy systems i.e ATP, Lactic Acid and Aerobic systems.

Monday, December 29, 2014

Drop in Oil Price 2015

Amazing its been nearly eight years since I started writing blogs a lot of things have changed since then the main one being the number of people that read blogs now.

Am really interested in why the price of oil has reduced so dramatically and usually I can get a good idea from my sources in the internet but their is no consensus so I thought will write something to consolidate my thoughts on the issue.

For me the world is shaped in petrodollars so when I comprehend about what is happening in the world, the main factor that influences my thinking is the petrodollar. Actions of Iraq and Libya and now Russia are more inline with defending petrodollar then whatever reasons are being touted.

My original feeling was that the drop was an attack on Russia, then I thought it was to do with supply and demand based on changing needs of society,  but I feel it has to be something to do with the decoupling of the petrodollar to reality.

In terms of supply there has been a drop of projected number of barrels needed per day as the IEA has forecasted around 20% drop in demand.In Fiji I remember that a large amount of our electricity was produced by oil and now have read that UK and China are setting records in renewable solutions for generating electricity. My gut feeling is that renewable solutions and peoples disposable income are having the biggest impact on the amount of oil needed.

If it is mainly to do with the petrodollar decoupling with reality. I need to first work out why the petrodollar function is so important in the reduction of prices. Dollar Notes need to be backed by something so that you know it can be redeemed. Originally the US dollar was backed by gold then then that changed in the seventies and it become oil from Saudi Arabia hence the name petrodollars.

There is also the influence of AIPAC type motives in a significant number of decisions being made and that factor is what to me has caused biggest issues in terms of keeping interest rates low and printing of dollars which has made Oil Producing nations look at alternatives to the Dollar.

Before oil producing nations sold their oil for dollars then they would use those dollars by purchasing US financial instruments e.g in 2012  there net effect of 248 billion of purchases but what is expected in 2014 is actually net effect of taking out around 8 billion dollars. So how can they be a petro dollar if the oil producing nations don't want to invest in the dollar.

My understanding is that the US dollar will be the last fiat currency to drop when there is a reset and that is why value of dollar is increasing.  So the drop in oil prices is not logical as I would think the value of the dollar would decrease and oil prices increase but the opposite has happened. So what is happening?.

QE printing for me is also done to meet the shortfall of what was being supplied by the oil producing countries  i.e. 500 billion in 2006 and bailout TPTB.

Following the silver and gold market has given me many examples of how the market is able to be manipulated. I have feeling of what is happening to the oil prices is last throes of the dollar being backed by a commodity as other nations start trading in their own currencies.

Goes back to conversation had with deputy of chine embassy who in 2009 told me they were moving away from US dollars to basket of Huan, Ruble and Eurpean currencies.

I am interested with Deputy of Russia saying that the manipulation can only last around six months then we will see what happens

Monday, August 04, 2014

Hamas and Gaza

Long time since I have posted which means a tipping point must have been reached for me to spend time writing about a subject that have been following for a long time. I predicted the hamas victory in 2006. But I am writing because of am always interested in hypocricy and media bias and what is occurring in Gaza is a good example of how things have gone bad.

In the scheme of things the number of deaths is comparable to other conflicts and as an example more the 3 million kids die each year because of malnutrition. For me their is a significant difference in not giving kids food and targeting kids because they may be potential terrorist in the future.

The main reason for me why this is so important is that Israel and the people that support Israel have such a big influence in the world. So for them to change their values and morals to justify the killing of innocents in a public way is not right. Especially by lying and so what I was going to do was go through the 613 commandments as show how they have moved significantly from their origins.

As part of the commandments are not to slay an innocent person but then came the shocking commandments which are
  •  601.   Not to keep alive any individual of the seven Canaanite nations (Deut.20:16)
  • 602.   To exterminate the seven Canaanite nations from the land of Israel (Deut. 20:17)
  • 613.  To destroy the seed of Amalek (Deut. 25:19)

So in their minds I can see them justifying their actions. For me as a christian they have gone against the commandments of thou shall not kill, thou shalt not bear false witness against thy neighbor and thou shall not covet thy neighbors property.  So I can't understand why supposedly christian states are supporting Israel in this issue.

Really surprised that genocide is part of the Jewish commandments and that they are actioning it in todays world.

Main reason I posted is that people have crossed the line in supporting the killing of innocent children and this meme should not be accepted by majority of people for a functioning society.

Thursday, February 20, 2014

Facebook's purchase of Whatsapp

In my experience Facebook users are nearly saturated. I have only added one friend in the last few months and joined in 2007. So their market growth is really only new kids accessing computers or 3rd world countries. Well Fiji is a third world country and I am connected to nearly all my Family members in Fiji. Where the Australian Friends and family seem to post a lot less now.

I have a fourteen and sixteen year old son and they don't know what Whatsapp is and they spend a lot time on their Samsung s2. The youngest uses Snapchat as majority of his friends are using it. 

After some reading article from November last year it stated that Whatsapp had around 400 million users and with Snapchat was the biggest competitor to Facebook.  Amazing the speed of change by end of Christmas break new users were going to Snapchat at a rate of 40/1 over Whatsapp.

I understand that Facebook is in trouble getting new users especially the younger ones as my kids are always complaining about Grandma posting comments on their Facebook posts.
The biggest issue that Facebook has now is its branding as its lost it cool and rebellious factor for new kids.  

This is just part of the internet cycle and what must go up will come down as smartphone apps are taking away a lot of what Facebook users would spend their time on Facebook. An example is the  Farmville of today would just be a ITunes or Google Play app.

My main problem with Facebook is that they are picking the wrong company and even if they did pick Snapchat, I am sure that once under Facebook branding it will lose users and as a new app that takes advantage of whatever new technology of the day is will overtake it. 

I see this move as like Newscorp taking over MySpace when all majority of their users have already moved to Facebook. But MySpace touting its number of users.

My opinion is that Facebook should make it easier for kids on Facebook to silo off their older family members like myself and spend the 19 billion on real assets that wont be overtaken in a few years,

Wednesday, February 19, 2014

Response to Martin Armstrong, John Drovak and Rupert Murdoch on Climate Change

“Climate change is a hoax”, in the last month this statement has been promoted by people that I respect.  This was stated by Martin Armstrong, John Dvorak and wife of one of my best friends who is doing her master’s thesis at Cambridge on how climate changing is part of the normal natural cycle.  So I need to clarify my thoughts concerning this issue as there is cognitive dissonance in what I see and feel compared to views of people that I respect. I will try and explore their arguments and expand on what my feelings are, which is that we are affecting the climate and in a negative way.

Growing up in Australia, my connection to the land lied dormant as I believed that earth was nothing but a dead entity. A major factor in being able to change my views was in the process of completing my Computer Science Degree. I created a computerized horse racing handicap system as my final year project. In this process I developed a good understanding of probability and the weighting of factors that are needed to predict future events. 

I awakened to my natural connection to the land after spending 20 years in the management of indigenous land in Fiji. My comprehension changed after seeing so many improbable events occurring regularly. I considered the events nearly impossible to occur when combining all the events in a time frame that it was viewed in. The understanding that the climate is alive and behaves in ways depending on actions that have occurred, is an accepted view in Fijian society. So the improbable events became probable and understandable. After around seven years, I could usually predict a weather based event on actions/affects that have occurred by people.

My argument of a natural connection between people and climate may not work with people like Dvorak, Armstrong and Rupert Murdoch as you need to be open to the idea that there are other forces around us, that are not seen or accepted by Mass Media in the Western World.  Interestingly, If you are Christian and believe that praying for rain can have an affect, then you should believe that climate change can be affected by man.

When I was first going to write this post I was going to argue against that the current change in the climate is not only part of the natural cycle of change but it is also influenced by man.The actions of humans may not be large, but they do have an effect.   Different ingredients/actions would have different effects.  A comparison is if you pour turpentine in a litre of water, we can smell it at range of around 20 micro-grams, which is around 0.000002% of the water. When pouring sugar into a litre of water you would need significantly more sugar than turpentine before you can naturally smell that the water has changed. What I am trying to explain is that different actions will have different effects on different types of the climate and that the action can be very small to have a noticeable effect.

My understanding is that Drovak and Armstrong’s major argument is that the changes we are see is based on natural oscillation of the climate that occurs in cycles. I believe in cycle theory for majority of disciplines, including my knowledge of how climate changes.  Within Cycles there are also cycles at a smaller scale and that is the level I believe that human actions are causing changes. 

The following are the top things that I think are actually having a significant affect in hurting the Earth.
  •   Earthquakes caused by Fracking
  •  Sinkholes caused by mining and water usage
  • Sea is becoming more acidic because of more C02 in atmosphere and less clean water being added to the sea
  • Colony Collapse Disorder (CCD) means threat to pollination and is found to be significantly man made disorder
  • Changes in local temperatures due to clearing of Land

After twenty years I have returned back to live in Australia and the climate has changed compared to what I remember it.  Here there are no talking heads that argue against climate change as they are ridiculed, in the same vein as commentators that say smoking is not bad for you because they have an uncle that smokes and drinks and he still lived to his nineties.

I started writing this post then lost my motivation.  I had to drop a family member at Church and  just as I was getting in the car it started to rain. Within an hour 54mm of rain poured down causing floods and major damage, just in my area of the city. To put things in context, so far this year only 14mm of rain has been recorded and in the whole of 2006 there was only 86mm.  So do I believe that the climate changed to give me motivation to finish this post. I will leave that up to you.

Wednesday, November 13, 2013

Obama the shackles are off

Just read that ties between USA is publicly breaking with Israel concerning Palestine.  These actions plus the fines to J.P Morgan and Johnson & Johnson shows that there is a change at the Whitehouse. Obama's team are not scared as before to do the right thing.  Strength shown during the Government shutdown was also unprecedented in my time of following the democratic party.

I actually have hope again and especially after watching Ray Dalio clip below. The information has motivated me to actually be productive in our society. As I have spent the last three years mainly playing video games and sponged of the people and society around me.

Amazing I am playing nearly playing tennis everyday with my boys, we play cards most nights and I am helping them with their school work in which they have really deteriorated over the last few years. Now I am in the process of writing android apps to help them with their school work and will hopefully help other students.

I still believe that we will need a huge reset to fix the worlds problems but I am happy that the people that I originally supported i.e Obama are now moving in the right direction on issues that is important to the earth

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

What Google needs to do to get goodwill back for NSA

The leaks by Edward Snowden has in my opinion affected Google and Apple the most. Especially Google as there is an assumption of the "do no evil" motto that they carry.

Idea that they are giving our data to Military Contractors whose aim to create more profits by pumping more wars doesn't fit with the meme of "do no evil". I have small issues of Military Industry complex wanting to get into more wars as its a business and I have a lot of family  who are mercenaries or work in the UN. The Syria debacle will bring a significant amount of money back to Fiji.

So how can Google get back goodwill from us punters, I think what they are doing is a good step in challenging the Gag order about the secret FISA rulings. Reality people will think the worse when information is in the dark. Like you get more scared at night when you can't see things around you and paranio starts to affect you.

I was going to right a post on how the most important information gathering tool I have had for last 7 years and not being able to access it next month is giving me more bad will to Google then the NSA leaks. So continuing with Google Reader is the first step in getting back goodwill with internet power users. I know Google want people to migrate to Google plus but there's no comparison compared to Google Reader. So for me will get goodwill back by continuing Google Reader.

I think creating a legal challenge for bringing light to NSA secret court rulings is good. Amazing spent fifteen minutes thinking of other ways and I can't think of any significant moves besides marketing.

Google may be in trouble.  Like getting Google glasses which NSA can have access to or driver less cars in which NSA can control.

Anyway good luck Google but I think what is happening like our relationship we have had with Google Reader is a sign of the times.

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Why the Gang of Eight is powerless in the new Surveillance State

After reading Edward Snowdens answers about how the Gang of Eight lies was one of the main reasons he became a Whistle blower, I am interested on who are the Gang of Eight and interestingly they are the ones that have been smearing Edward Snowden.

It got me thinking in how did these people get elected into their positions. I remember how J Edgar Hoover key to his power was all the information that he got over people. He used that information to stay in power. I am guessing that Clapper has much more information then Hoover did. So with this power I am sure he is able to help people get into positions of power where the main goal controlling is the Gang of Eight. So am guessing majority of the Gang of Eight either have something to hide or owe NSA information for their power.

But main question is that the NSA is government organisation and why would they do that. But really is it a government organisation when 70% of the workers are contractors and James Clapper was an Executive at Booz Allan Hamilton and 99% of its income (3.8 billion) comes from government contracts.

So the function of NSA would have moved from securing the nation to getting more work for Contractors. This leads to the main function of management in NSA to get information for more contract work. This ends up being a negative for the public in terms of more surveillance work and deterioration of the fourth amendment. It also means contractors will target people to promote the culture of fear. I wonder what they have on media commentators.

So why do I care. The psych profiles of people who succeed at Wall Street means they will do things that they don't want the public to know as it relieves the stress of their work. By private contractors knowing this information and having it over them, they become the choke point in changing the direction towards a sustainable world. Which is something I want for my kids.

Another layer of the onion is peeled.

Edward Snowden Question and Answers at Guardian June 2013

Was Fascinated at Edward Snowden Question and Answers at Guardian which kept me up to 3am this morning. Really interesting experience.

Below are the Questions and Answers and my really take

Edward Snowden
 Really Take
Why did you choose Hong Kong to go to and then tell them about US hacking on their research facilities and universities?
First, the US Government, just as they did with other whistleblowers, immediately and predictably destroyed any possibility of a fair trial at home, openly declaring me guilty of treason and that the disclosure of secret, criminal, and even unconstitutional acts is an unforgivable crime. That's not justice, and it would be foolish to volunteer yourself to it if you can do more good outside of prison than in it. Second, let's be clear: I did not reveal any US operations against legitimate military targets. I pointed out where the NSA has hacked civilian infrastructure such as universities, hospitals, and private businesses because it is dangerous. These nakedly, aggressively criminal acts are wrong no matter the target. Not only that, when NSA makes a technical mistake during an exploitation operation, critical systems crash. Congress hasn't declared war on the countries - the majority of them are our allies - but without asking for public permission, NSA is running network operations against them that affect millions of innocent people. And for what? So we can have secret access to a computer in a country we're not even fighting? So we can potentially reveal a potential terrorist with the potential to kill fewer Americans than our own Police? No, the public needs to know the kinds of things a government does in its name, or the "consent of the governed" is meaningless.

I think he gave information about Chinese breaches as present to them and get them onside in the future extradition case.
How many sets of the documents you disclosed did you make, and how many different people have them? If anything happens to you, do they still exist?
All I can say right now is the US Government is not going to be able to cover this up by jailing or murdering me. Truth is coming, and it cannot be stopped.
 Good answer as uncertainty of information he has gives him more power
Why did you just not fly direct to Iceland if that is your preferred country for asylum?
Leaving the US was an incredible risk, as NSA employees must declare their foreign travel 30 days in advance and are monitored. There was a distinct possibility I would be interdicted en route, so I had to travel with no advance booking to a country with the cultural and legal framework to allow me to work without being immediately detained. Hong Kong provided that. Iceland could be pushed harder, quicker, before the public could have a chance to make their feelings known, and I would not put that past the current US administration.
 As speculated went to Hong Kong as was easiest destination from Hawaii without going through transits were he could be stopped.
You have said that you admire both Ellsberg and Manning, but have argued that there is one important distinction between yourself and the army private... "I carefully evaluated every single document I disclosed to ensure that each was legitimately in the public interest," he said. "There are all sorts of documents that would have made a big impact that I didn't turn over, because harming people isn't my goal. Transparency is." Are you suggesting that Manning indiscriminately dumped secrets into the hands of Wikileaks and that he intended to harm people?
No, I'm not. Wikileaks is a legitimate journalistic outlet and they carefully redacted all of their releases in accordance with a judgment of public interest. The unredacted release of cables was due to the failure of a partner journalist to control a passphrase. However, I understand that many media outlets used the argument that "documents were dumped" to smear Manning, and want to make it clear that it is not a valid assertion here.
Standard comment to keep wikileaks people onside.
Did you lie about your salary? What is the issue there? Why did you tell Glenn Greenwald that your salary was $200,000 a year, when it was only $122,000 (according to the firm that fired you.)
I was debriefed by Glenn and his peers over a number of days, and not all of those conversations were recorded. The statement I made about earnings was that $200,000 was my "career high" salary. I had to take pay cuts in the course of pursuing specific work. Booz was not the most I've been paid.
He mentioned the $200,000 in the interview. But I give him more cred in trying to embellish his salary.

Helps argument in that he targeted Booz for the release of information
Why did you wait to release the documents if you said you wanted to tell the world about the NSA programs since before Obama became president?
Obama's campaign promises and election gave me faith that he would lead us toward fixing the problems he outlined in his quest for votes. Many Americans felt similarly. Unfortunately, shortly after assuming power, he closed the door on investigating systemic violations of law, deepened and expanded several abusive programs, and refused to spend the political capital to end the kind of human rights violations like we see in Guantanamo, where men still sit without charge.
Good Answer
Define in as much detail as you can what "direct access" means.
More detail on how direct NSA's accesses are is coming, but in general, the reality is this: if an NSA, FBI, CIA, DIA, etc analyst has access to query raw SIGINT databases, they can enter and get results for anything they want. Phone number, email, user id, cell phone handset id (IMEI), and so on - it's all the same. The restrictions against this are policy based, not technically based, and can change at any time. Additionally, audits are cursory, incomplete, and easily fooled by fake justifications. For at least GCHQ, the number of audited queries is only 5% of those performed.
Confusing and from me it means direct access means direct access to a database that has retrieved information from different sources.

Unless the SIGINT database has joins from all servers housed in different sources.

In end doesn't matter as power point presentation says direct access not him
Can analysts listen to content of domestic calls without a warrant?
NSA likes to use "domestic" as a weasel word here for a number of reasons. The reality is that due to the FISA Amendments Act and its section 702 authorities, Americans’ communications are collected and viewed on a daily basis on the certification of an analyst rather than a warrant. They excuse this as "incidental" collection, but at the end of the day, someone at NSA still has the content of your communications. Even in the event of "warranted" intercept, it's important to understand the intelligence community doesn't always deal with what you would consider a "real" warrant like a Police department would have to, the "warrant" is more of a templated form they fill out and send to a reliable judge with a rubber stamp.
This answer still needs to be fleshed out and we need to understand what new legal definition of warranted intercept means
When you say "someone at NSA still has the content of your communications" - what do you mean? Do you mean they have a record of it, or the actual content?
Both. If I target for example an email address, for example under FAA 702, and that email address sent something to you, Joe America, the analyst gets it. All of it. IPs, raw data, content, headers, attachments, everything. And it gets saved for a very long time - and can be extended further with waivers rather than warrants.
Sounds like meta data to me. Which is still bad in my books
What are your thoughts on Google's and Facebook's denials? Do you think that they're honestly in the dark about PRISM, or do you think they're compelled to lie? Perhaps this is a better question to a lawyer like Greenwald, but: If you're presented with a secret order that you're forbidding to reveal the existence of, what will they actually do if you simply refuse to comply (without revealing the order)?
Their denials went through several revisions as it become more and more clear they were misleading and included identical, specific language across companies. As a result of these disclosures and the clout of these companies, we're finally beginning to see more transparency and better details about these programs for the first time since their inception. They are legally compelled to comply and maintain their silence in regard to specifics of the program, but that does not comply them from ethical obligation. If for example Facebook, Google, Microsoft, and Apple refused to provide this cooperation with the Intelligence Community, what do you think the government would do? Shut them down?
Agree but there is to much anecdotal information about having separate servers in these large sources.

These companies need to have the legal shackles freed so that they can talk about that.
Ed Snowden, I thank you for your brave service to our country. Some skepticism exists about certain of your claims, including this: I, sitting at my desk, certainly had the authorities to wiretap anyone, from you, or your accountant, to a federal judge, to even the President if I had a personal email. Do you stand by that, and if so, could you elaborate?
Yes, I stand by it. US Persons do enjoy limited policy protections (and again, it's important to understand that policy protection is no protection - policy is a one-way ratchet that only loosens) and one very weak technical protection - a near-the-front-end filter at our ingestion points. The filter is constantly out of date, is set at what is euphemistically referred to as the "widest allowable aperture," and can be stripped out at any time. Even with the filter, US comms get ingested, and even more so as soon as they leave the border. Your protected communications shouldn't stop being protected communications just because of the IP they're tagged with. More fundamentally, the "US Persons" protection in general is a distraction from the power and danger of this system. Suspicionless surveillance does not become okay simply because it's only victimizing 95% of the world instead of 100%. Our founders did not write that "We hold these Truths to be self-evident, that all US Persons are created equal."
Thats what a lot of people don't understand is the power of the system admin in that we are able to bypass the security filters setup by the program by accessing the information in different layers.

Not sure if this is possible by normal analysts though and am sure there are heaps of audit trails and flags
Edward, there is rampant speculation, outpacing facts, that you have or will provide classified US information to the Chinese or other governments in exchange for asylum. Have/will you?
This is a predictable smear that I anticipated before going public, as the US media has a knee-jerk "RED CHINA!" reaction to anything involving HK or the PRC, and is intended to distract from the issue of US government misconduct. Ask yourself: if I were a Chinese spy, why wouldn't I have flown directly into Beijing? I could be living in a palace petting a phoenix by now.
Agree but I would rather live in Hong Kong then in Beijing petting a phoenix
US officials say terrorists already altering TTPs because of your leaks, & calling you traitor. Respond?
US officials say this every time there's a public discussion that could limit their authority. US officials also provide misleading or directly false assertions about the value of these programs, as they did just recently with the Zazi case, which court documents clearly show was not unveiled by PRISM. Journalists should ask a specific question: since these programs began operation shortly after September 11th, how many terrorist attacks were prevented SOLELY by information derived from this suspicionless surveillance that could not be gained via any other source? Then ask how many individual communications were ingested to acheive that, and ask yourself if it was worth it. Bathtub falls and police officers kill more Americans than terrorism, yet we've been asked to sacrifice our most sacred rights for fear of falling victim to it. Further, it's important to bear in mind I'm being called a traitor by men like former Vice President Dick Cheney. This is a man who gave us the warrantless wiretapping scheme as a kind of atrocity warm-up on the way to deceitfully engineering a conflict that has killed over 4,400 and maimed nearly 32,000 Americans, as well as leaving over 100,000 Iraqis dead. Being called a traitor by Dick Cheney is the highest honor you can give an American, and the more panicked talk we hear from people like him, Feinstein, and King, the better off we all are. If they had taught a class on how to be the kind of citizen Dick Cheney worries about, I would have finished high school.
 Good Response

Part about not finishing High School was interesting but another embellishment.

Am guessing a significant factor of not finishing high school was his parents divorcing in his final year.
Is encrypting my email any good at defeating the NSA survelielance? [Is] my data protected by standard encryption?
Encryption works. Properly implemented strong crypto systems are one of the few things that you can rely on. Unfortunately, endpoint security is so terrifically weak that NSA can frequently find ways around it.
Need to read up on endpoint security. 
Understanding they have access to backdoors to computers. Always on assumption they can access everything if you are under their radar and have locked in a communication device
Do you believe that the treatment of Binney, Drake and others influenced your path? Do you feel the "system works" so to speak?
Binney, Drake, Kiriakou, and Manning are all examples of how overly-harsh responses to public-interest whistle-blowing only escalate the scale, scope, and skill involved in future disclosures. Citizens with a conscience are not going to ignore wrong-doing simply because they'll be destroyed for it: the conscience forbids it. Instead, these draconian responses simply build better whistleblowers. If the Obama administration responds with an even harsher hand against me, they can be assured that they'll soon find themselves facing an equally harsh public response. This disclosure provides Obama an opportunity to appeal for a return to sanity, constitutional policy, and the rule of law rather than men. He still has plenty of time to go down in history as the President who looked into the abyss and stepped back, rather than leaping forward into it. I would advise he personally call for a special committee to review these interception programs, repudiate the dangerous "State Secrets" privilege, and, upon preparing to leave office, begin a tradition for all Presidents forthwith to demonstrate their respect for the law by appointing a special investigator to review the policies of their years in office for any wrongdoing. There can be no faith in government if our highest offices are excused from scrutiny - they should be setting the example of transparency.
Great response and this response makes me wonder if he is actually answering these questions in real time or if someone is helping him.
What would you say to others who are in a position to leak classified information that could improve public understanding of the intelligence apparatus of the USA and its effect on civil liberties? What evidence do you have that refutes the assertion that the NSA is unable to listen to the content of telephone calls without an explicit and defined court order from FISC?
This country is worth dying for.
Great response and am sure this answer will give more motivation for people that served with patriotic reasons.

Lucky for him he doesn't have any children or any major ties besides relationship he had with partner for more then 7 years. 
My question: given the enormity of what you are facing now in terms of repercussions, can you describe the exact moment when you knew you absolutely were going to do this, no matter the fallout, and what it now feels like to be living in a post-revelation world? Or was it a series of moments that culminated in action? I think it might help other people contemplating becoming whistleblowers if they knew what the ah-ha moment was like. Again, thanks for your courage and heroism.
I imagine everyone's experience is different, but for me, there was no single moment. It was seeing a continuing litany of lies from senior officials to Congress - and therefore the American people - and the realization that that Congress, specifically the Gang of Eight, wholly supported the lies that compelled me to act. Seeing someone in the position of James Clapper - the Director of National Intelligence - baldly lying to the public without repercussion is the evidence of a subverted democracy. The consent of the governed is not consent if it is not informed.
For me personally I really hate people lying especially for important things in my life.

I think it may affect IT people more then others. 

Can understand how this has motivated him.
Regarding whether you have secretly given classified information to the Chinese government, some are saying you didn't answer clearly - can you give a flat no?
No. I have had no contact with the Chinese government. Just like with the Guardian and the Washington Post, I only work with journalists.
Key is who is supporting his safe house that he is staying in.
So far are things going the way you thought they would regarding a public debate?
Initially I was very encouraged. Unfortunately, the mainstream media now seems far more interested in what I said when I was 17 or what my girlfriend looks like rather than, say, the largest program of suspicionless surveillance in human history.
Starting to get tired from answering questions as first spelling mistake.
Final Question: Anything else you’d like to add?
Thanks to everyone for their support, and remember that just because you are not the target of a surveillance program does not make it okay. The US Person / foreigner distinction is not a reasonable substitute for individualized suspicion, and is only applied to improve support for the program. This is the precise reason that NSA provides Congress with a special immunity to its surveillance.

Watching Questions and Answers live was a very good experience and give more evidence to me that he is not an agent of TPTB.

Sunday, June 16, 2013

xbox one vs ps4

As a huge windows based gamer and having an xbox 360 in our living room which my sons play every day. I am really disappointed how Microsoft has screwed up the xbox franchise. I believe that Kinect is some of the the best technology that has been created ever.

So based on media the main arguments for each console

Reasons to buy the PlayStation 4 over Xbox One.

  • It's less restrictive. 
  • Tretton also said PS4 won't require a persistent online connection. 
  • It's cheaper by $100. 
  • A large, diverse games library.

Reasons to buy the Xbox One over PS4

  • Xbox Live. 
  • Powerful first-party options around launch. 
  • The Kinect/SmartGlass combination.

I feel that what has happened is Microsoft execs that have screwed up the licensing for Windows have become decision makers in the Xbox francise. This will cause a lot of bad will within the gaming community and they are different to punter decision makers who don't want to rock the boat and change platforms.

Reality is though that both ps and xbox franchises are in trouble where games from tablets and mobile phones are going to severely eat up into their playing time.

I have been playing video games since late seventies and its amazing to me the games I am playing the most in the last six months has been wow and lol which both don't have very old graphics. The key fun for me is testing my skills against other people